Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.092823 0.103111 0.113587 0.125023 0.137127 0.149531 0.163177
2025-05-25 0.076970 0.092642 0.109330 0.128293 0.149117 0.171170 0.196176
2025-06-01 0.062847 0.081331 0.101803 0.125855 0.153052 0.182589 0.216836
2025-06-08 0.052196 0.072306 0.095395 0.123326 0.155696 0.191578 0.233925
2025-06-15 0.046624 0.068410 0.094179 0.126081 0.163760 0.206174 0.256883
2025-06-22 0.041415 0.064320 0.092200 0.127471 0.169854 0.218220 0.276705
2025-06-29 0.038613 0.062910 0.093191 0.132172 0.179649 0.234404 0.301185
2025-07-06 0.034499 0.059367 0.091195 0.132950 0.184545 0.244709 0.318747
2025-07-13 0.034335 0.061055 0.095794 0.141867 0.199264 0.266609 0.349895
2025-07-20 0.029722 0.056184 0.091588 0.139468 0.199977 0.271740 0.361244
2025-07-27 0.028060 0.055347 0.092576 0.143580 0.208644 0.286343 0.383777
2025-08-03 0.025398 0.052802 0.091088 0.144354 0.213051 0.295745 0.400087
2025-08-10 0.023647 0.051655 0.091654 0.148077 0.221556 0.310627 0.423620
2025-08-17 0.021614 0.049918 0.091331 0.150627 0.228644 0.323912 0.445444
2025-08-24 0.018240 0.045643 0.087125 0.147740 0.228596 0.328288 0.456398
2025-08-31 0.015292 0.041709 0.083133 0.144915 0.228447 0.332406 0.466936
2025-09-07 0.014101 0.040720 0.083427 0.147943 0.235901 0.345994 0.489065
2025-09-14 0.012679 0.039138 0.082708 0.149472 0.241331 0.357018 0.508046
2025-09-21 0.012172 0.039242 0.084567 0.154644 0.251605 0.374185 0.534655
2025-09-28 0.010825 0.037524 0.083459 0.155500 0.256070 0.383968 0.552129
2025-10-05 0.011324 0.039631 0.088503 0.165289 0.272604 0.409183 0.588853
2025-10-12 0.009470 0.036576 0.085072 0.162657 0.272299 0.412863 0.598754
2025-10-19 0.009028 0.036523 0.086524 0.167167 0.281688 0.428976 0.624207